Low Risk 15

A smallcase based on the low volatility investing principle

low-risk-15

Forget Nifty ETFs, the Low Risk 15 smallcase is the best product for long term passive investing

What is low volatility investing?

To understand low volatility investing, one has to first understand volatility. If the share price moves up and down rapidly over short periods of time the stock is said to be highly volatile. Read more about volatility here.  

Low volatility investing strategy is a smarter asset allocation approach which aims to offer better risk-adjusted returns over the long run. It is generally accepted that risk, denoted by volatility, and return on investment are correlated. Hence higher risk should ideally yield higher returns. However recent research has shown that, in stock markets across the world, low risk stocks have consistently outperformed high risk stocks and provided higher returns. This effect termed the “Low Risk Anomaly” challenges the basic notion of risk return trade off and is the bedrock of low volatility investing. In simple words low volatility investing offers better returns at lower risk levels by deriving portfolio weights through volatility, instead of keeping it equal-weighted or market cap weighted.

Low volatility investing in India

Our research confirms that low volatility investing works very well in the indian stock market. Sharpe ratio is the best measure for calculating quality of any financial instrument. It measures the extra returns over the risk free rate ( bank FDs, return on government 10 year bonds) generated by the instrument for every unit of risk. In a nutshell, higher the sharpe ratio higher is the return offered for the same level of risk. Thus an instrument having higher sharpe ratio is always better.

For example, if X mutual fund has a higher sharpe than Y mutual fund, its much better to invest in X. Similarly, if Nifty ETF has a better sharpe than X mutual fund, its better to invest in Nifty ETF for long term. We have calculated the sharpe ratio of our Low Risk 15 smallcase and compared it with Nifty Index, Nifty 100 index and the most liquid Nifty ETF – Nifty BeES to establish that it offers the best risk-adjusted returns.   

low-risk-15-sharpe-ratio

How is the Low Risk 15 smallcase created

The smallcase defines top 100 stocks by market capitalisation listed on NSE, as its investment universe. It leaves out stocks that have been listed for less than 1 year. 1 year volatility of the rest of the stocks are calculated and ranked in ascending order. Hence the least volatile stock is assigned the lowest rank and vise versa. Top 20 stocks from this list are selected and stocks whose market price is greater than Rs.1800 is further excluded in order to ensure investability for retail investors. The stock weight is calculated as the ratio of the inverse of the stock volatility to the sum of the inverse of stock volatility of all constituents.

Thus, any investor looking to minimize risk and take long term equity exposure, Low Risk 15 smallcase is a much better and extremely liquid option compared to any other ETF available in the market! And wait, we haven’t yet told you the best part about the strategy…it handsomely outperforms all the other instruments in the study, as shown in the chart below.

 

Latest

screen-shot-2016-11-16-at-11-54-40-am